Peñarol vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FEN
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
27%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
COL
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
JWI
3 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
PEÑ
28%
28%
44%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
PLA
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 0
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
RIV
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 2
LFC
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |