Peñarol vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
0 - 1
PEÑ
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ETS
1 - 1
PEÑ
21%
23%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
CAL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SUD
73%
18%
9%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 1
EME
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
FEN
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
EME
2 - 1
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
REN
2 - 0
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 3
NAC
46%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |