Peñarol vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FEN
4 - 3
PEÑ
18%
22%
59%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CSC
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
JUN
1 - 7
PEÑ
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
NAC
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MWA
1 - 5
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
RIV
2 - 1
DEF
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
RAC
4 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
RIV
4 - 0
ETS
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 1
DAN
65%
20%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |