Peñarol vs Rampla Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
DEF
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 2
PEÑ
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
JUN
3 - 4
PRO
42%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 2
CER
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
JUN
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 0
DAN
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ATE
2 - 2
JUN
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |