Peñarol vs Rampla Juniors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
MWA
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LFC
3 - 0
PEÑ
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
CER
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
FEN
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rampla Juniors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
4 - 0
REN
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 2
NAC
19%
25%
56%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
2 - 0
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
0 - 1
BVS
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
JUN
1 - 3
CSC
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |