Peñarol vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 1
PEÑ
16%
21%
63%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
IQU
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CEL
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
EME
2 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 3
PEÑ
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
2 - 0
JUV
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 0
DEF
23%
27%
50%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
RAC
0 - 1
CEN
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
3 - 1
RAC
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |