Peñarol vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1981 |
BVS
0 - 0
PEÑ
34%
28%
38%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
BVS
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 4
BVS
47%
23%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1981 |
POR
0 - 1
PEÑ
22%
29%
49%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1979 |
PAL
6 - 0
POR
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |