Peñarol vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
MWA
4 - 1
PEÑ
36%
26%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 3
PEÑ
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
PLA
0 - 0
DAN
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
PLA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PLA
2 - 2
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
SUD
0 - 2
PLA
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
PLA
1 - 0
FEN
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +2 |