Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Peñarol vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BOC
3 - 1
PEÑ
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
BLO
3 - 3
PEÑ
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
UCO
52%
25%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BOC
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2000 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BLO
57%
23%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
JUV
2 - 2
PAL
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2000 |
PAL
4 - 1
NAC
88%
9%
4%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2000 |
STR
4 - 2
PAL
28%
24%
48%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
BOT
72%
17%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 0
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |