Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Peñarol vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
SPC
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
EME
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 16 | 67 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEÑ
44%
24%
31%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 1
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
GUA
2 - 0
PAL
50%
23%
28%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1968 |
PAL
4 - 1
UCO
64%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |