Peñarol vs Palestino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
0 - 0
PEÑ
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1976 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Palestino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
56%
21%
24%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
1 - 0
PAL
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |