Peñarol vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
1 - 4
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1998 |
BOL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
26%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
48%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1997 |
EST
3 - 1
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1998 |
NAC
4 - 1
OPE
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
1 - 1
BOL
32%
27%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
2 - 1
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1998 |
OPE
0 - 0
PEÑ
30%
26%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1998 |
BOL
3 - 2
OPE
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |