Peñarol vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2005 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
24%
43%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DAN
56%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
25%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 3
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
PLA
87%
10%
3%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
LFC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2005 |
JUN
3 - 2
NAC
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |