Peñarol vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEÑ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
0 - 3
PEÑ
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
MWA
1 - 2
PEÑ
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
UNI
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
PEÑ
5 - 2
UNI
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
2 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |