Peñarol vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
15.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1972 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
UNI
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1972 |
UNI
2 - 3
PEÑ
44%
27%
30%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1972 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
VAL
87%
8%
5%
|
83 | 32 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
PEÑ
5 - 1
MIR
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
3 - 3
UNI
69%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1972 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1972 |
UNI
3 - 0
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1971 |
NAC
2 - 1
PAN
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1971 |
PAN
1 - 1
NAC
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |