Peñarol vs Municipal La Paz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12%
8.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
JWI
71%
16%
13%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 2
PEÑ
32%
22%
47%
|
79 | 22 | 57 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
EME
1 - 2
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
1 - 2
PEÑ
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
JWI
1 - 0
PEÑ
45%
23%
32%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Municipal La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 1
MUN
85%
10%
6%
|
23 | 80 | 57 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
EME
2 - 1
MUN
79%
12%
9%
|
24 | 75 | 51 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 4
MUN
88%
8%
4%
|
22 | 67 | 45 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
1 - 2
PEÑ
32%
22%
47%
|
22 | 79 | 57 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 2
NAC
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 80 | 59 | +1 |