Peñarol vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
IND
1 - 1
PEÑ
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
HUR
0 - 3
PEÑ
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |