Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Peñarol vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
PEÑ
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1997 |
PEÑ
4 - 3
CAL
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
1 - 2
PEÑ
60%
20%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1997 |
CAL
2 - 0
PEÑ
57%
22%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
PEÑ
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
2 - 2
CAL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1997 |
MIL
1 - 2
PEÑ
60%
20%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
MIL
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -1 |