Peñarol vs Liverpool Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
FEN
2 - 2
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
GOD
49%
22%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Liverpool Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DAN
0 - 0
LFC
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
1 - 2
MWA
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JUN
0 - 2
LFC
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
LFC
2 - 1
CER
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
DEF
4 - 2
LFC
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |