Peñarol vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
11.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
GUA
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
11 - 2
VAL
87%
9%
5%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
GAL
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 1
LIG
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1970 |
AME
1 - 3
LIG
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1970 |
UNI
2 - 0
LIG
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |