Peñarol vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
24%
51%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
SUD
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ANZ
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 2
PEÑ
14%
22%
64%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 3
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 0
LFC
38%
26%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
3 - 1
RIV
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FEN
40%
27%
34%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | +2 |