Peñarol vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
CAL
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1978 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAL
1 - 0
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
DAN
76%
14%
10%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 1978 |
DAN
0 - 0
JUN
55%
21%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 1978 |
CAL
0 - 0
JUN
62%
19%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1978 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
DAN
55%
21%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
JUN
0 - 0
CAL
51%
21%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |