Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-8
Peñarol vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
SCI
6 - 2
PEÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
STR
60%
24%
15%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 0
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
SCI
6 - 2
PEÑ
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1989 |
SCI
3 - 1
TAC
67%
20%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1989 |
SCI
3 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 28 | 47 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
BAH
1 - 0
SCI
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1989 |
MAR
1 - 1
SCI
16%
26%
58%
|
76 | 27 | 49 | 0 |