Peñarol vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
AGU
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1987 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ALI
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1987 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
16%
26%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1987 |
AGU
1 - 1
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1987 |
ALI
0 - 1
PEÑ
25%
27%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
RAC
0 - 2
IND
33%
27%
40%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1987 |
IND
3 - 1
CEN
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1987 |
IND
5 - 0
TAC
84%
10%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1987 |
IND
2 - 0
EST
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |