Peñarol vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
HUR
47%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 1
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1974 |
OLI
0 - 2
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SLM
1 - 1
IND
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
IND
4 - 0
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1974 |
HUR
1 - 1
IND
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
VEL
2 - 1
IND
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1974 |
IND
3 - 0
CFE
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |