Peñarol vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
IND
4 - 0
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
CER
1 - 2
PEÑ
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
LFC
68%
18%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2009 |
IND
4 - 0
PEÑ
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
AME
3 - 1
IND
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
IND
0 - 1
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TOL
4 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2008 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |