Peñarol vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 3
PEÑ
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
11 - 2
VAL
87%
9%
5%
|
84 | 32 | 52 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
GAL
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1970 |
LIG
1 - 0
GUA
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
GUA
2 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
UCH
0 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1970 |
CSD
0 - 1
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |