Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Peñarol vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
45.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
CER
0 - 5
PEÑ
41%
28%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
JUN
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 2
PEÑ
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 1
VAS
47%
26%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
FLA
1 - 0
BAH
46%
25%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
COR
2 - 1
FLA
47%
25%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | -1 |