Peñarol vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
49%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
PEÑ
43%
24%
33%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CER
75%
17%
9%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
PEÑ
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LIG
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 1
FLA
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
SCI
2 - 1
FLA
34%
27%
39%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
CRZ
49%
26%
25%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LIG
2 - 1
FLA
31%
27%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
FLA
2 - 0
VAS
67%
21%
13%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |