Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
7º
1º
10
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 3
PEÑ
49%
25%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
SLO
43%
28%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
DEP
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
DEF
36%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
RIV
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
3 - 1
MWA
36%
28%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
57%
24%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |