Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
13.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
1 - 3
PEÑ
25%
28%
47%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
3 - 3
PEÑ
28%
29%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FEN
66%
22%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
LFC
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 3
PEÑ
24%
29%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 0
FEN
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 0
MWA
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
REN
0 - 1
FEN
31%
29%
40%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2022 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
FEN
66%
22%
13%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
0 - 0
DEP
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |