Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
RIV
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
CER
1 - 3
PEÑ
21%
24%
55%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
PLA
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2019 |
DAN
0 - 2
PEÑ
23%
25%
52%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 2
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 1
CEL
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
FEN
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FEN
1 - 0
RIV
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
FEN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |