Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 0
PEÑ
15%
22%
63%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
TOR
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
PEÑ
26%
25%
50%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
ATE
80%
14%
6%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
CER
72%
18%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FEN
2 - 1
BOS
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
0 - 0
LFC
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 1
FEN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
FEN
1 - 3
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
RAC
2 - 1
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |