Peñarol vs Fénix analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
LFC
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
LQE
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LQE
0 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
DEP
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
UCH
3 - 0
PEÑ
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 1
CER
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +2 |