Copa Libertadores Final
Global 0-1
Peñarol vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1970 |
EST
1 - 0
PEÑ
61%
21%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
UCH
71%
17%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1970 |
UCH
1 - 0
PEÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 May. 1970 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
LIG
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
EST
4 - 1
CAU
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1970 |
EST
1 - 0
PEÑ
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1970 |
EST
3 - 1
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
IND
3 - 1
EST
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
RIV
0 - 1
EST
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |