Peñarol vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
POR
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 15 | 69 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEÑ
44%
24%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
POR
0 - 3
PEÑ
19%
20%
61%
|
84 | 15 | 69 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1968 |
SPC
1 - 1
EME
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
EME
2 - 0
POR
81%
11%
7%
|
71 | 15 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
36%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 2
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |