Peñarol vs Deportivo Portugués analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEÑ
44%
24%
31%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
EME
0 - 1
PEÑ
40%
25%
36%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
POR
0 - 3
PEÑ
19%
20%
61%
|
84 | 15 | 69 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
GUA
1 - 1
PEÑ
58%
20%
22%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
1 - 0
PEÑ
42%
24%
34%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Portugués
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1968 |
SPC
2 - 0
POR
81%
11%
7%
|
15 | 76 | 61 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
EME
2 - 0
POR
81%
11%
7%
|
15 | 71 | 56 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
POR
1 - 1
SPC
29%
21%
50%
|
15 | 76 | 61 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
POR
0 - 3
PEÑ
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 84 | 69 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POR
1 - 0
GAL
34%
24%
42%
|
14 | 63 | 49 | +1 |