Peñarol vs Deportivo Miranda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
6.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 2
PEÑ
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 31 | 52 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
28%
40%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
9 - 0
STR
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1971 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CHA
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Miranda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
MIR
2 - 0
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1972 |
MIR
0 - 1
PEÑ
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 1
MIR
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 31 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
MIR
3 - 2
GAL
70%
17%
14%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1971 |
FLU
0 - 1
MIR
77%
14%
10%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +1 |