Peñarol vs Deportivo Maldonado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
1º
7º
1º
6
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
14 | 14 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 13 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
8 | 8 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 6 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PRO
0 - 2
PEÑ
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
RAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
MWA
2 - 0
PEÑ
37%
28%
36%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FEN
0 - 1
PEÑ
32%
28%
40%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Maldonado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 3
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEP
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 2
DEF
32%
28%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEP
42%
29%
30%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 1
FEN
44%
28%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |