Peñarol vs Deportivo Galicia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1970 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
0 - 0
PEÑ
21%
22%
57%
|
84 | 28 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
57%
22%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
NAC
0 - 0
PEÑ
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Galicia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1970 |
VAL
3 - 1
GAL
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 1
PEÑ
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 4
NAC
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1970 |
GAL
0 - 2
VAL
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 26 | 37 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1968 |
POR
1 - 0
GAL
34%
24%
42%
|
63 | 14 | 49 | 0 |