Peñarol vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
LFC
1 - 2
PEÑ
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ETS
1 - 2
PEÑ
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
JUN
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2017 |
BOS
0 - 0
PEÑ
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 2
DEF
23%
27%
51%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 0
LFC
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
FEN
1 - 1
DEF
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
DEF
3 - 1
BOS
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
JUN
1 - 2
DEF
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |