Peñarol vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
REN
3 - 0
PEÑ
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LFC
1 - 2
PEÑ
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
COL
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
PEÑ
45%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
DAN
3 - 0
COL
59%
24%
18%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 2
DAN
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
CSM
3 - 3
DAN
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PLA
0 - 0
DAN
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
DAN
2 - 3
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |