Peñarol vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
15.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 0
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 2
PEÑ
28%
27%
45%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
DAN
4 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
SLO
1 - 0
PEÑ
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
SLO
55%
27%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
STR
1 - 0
DAN
48%
23%
30%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1989 |
DAN
4 - 1
PEÑ
35%
27%
39%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1984 |
DAN
1 - 0
NAC
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1984 |
DAN
5 - 1
OCT
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |