Peñarol vs Danubio analysis


82	ELO	74
-6.4%	Tilt	-20.2%
354º	General ELO ranking	378º
2º	Country ELO ranking	6º
ELO win probability

75.9%

Peñarol

14%

Draw

10.1%

Danubio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

75.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%

14%

Draw

0-0

2.2%

1-1

6.1%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

1.3%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

14%

10.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+24%

+5%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches