Peñarol vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
MAG
90%
7%
3%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1985 |
BVS
0 - 2
PEÑ
3%
30%
67%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 2
PEÑ
3%
33%
64%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
MAG
1 - 1
PEÑ
6%
22%
72%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1985 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BVS
92%
5%
3%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1985 |
BVS
2 - 1
COL
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1985 |
MAG
1 - 3
COL
23%
22%
55%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1985 |
COL
1 - 2
PEÑ
3%
33%
64%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 0
BVS
65%
18%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1985 |
COL
2 - 0
MAG
86%
10%
5%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |