Peñarol vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DEP
0 - 0
PEÑ
27%
26%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
BEL
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LAN
2 - 0
PEÑ
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
SBO
0 - 0
PEÑ
18%
23%
59%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2020 |
CUR
0 - 0
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 2
CER
61%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
CER
0 - 2
LFC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
JUV
4 - 2
CER
51%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
CER
0 - 1
JUN
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |