Peñarol vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
MWA
0 - 2
PEÑ
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
PEÑ
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
RIV
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
CER
1 - 1
JUN
60%
24%
17%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
CER
3 - 0
BVS
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 2
CER
38%
28%
35%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CER
2 - 2
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |