Peñarol vs Cerro CA analysis


78	ELO	71
-20.3%	Tilt	-7.1%
300º	General ELO ranking	514º
2º	Country ELO ranking	15º
ELO win probability

62.1%

Peñarol

20.9%

Draw

17.1%

Cerro CA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

62%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%

20.9%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

9.9%

2-2

4.7%

3-3

1%

4-4

0.1%

0

20.9%

17.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+28%

-1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches