Peñarol vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
BOT
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
BOT
4 - 1
PEÑ
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 2
CCP
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 0
CCP
71%
16%
13%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1973 |
COL
4 - 0
CCP
57%
20%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1973 |
CCP
3 - 2
BOT
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |