Peñarol vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
REN
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
PEÑ
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BOS
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
PEÑ
49%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JWI
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 0
CEL
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
4 - 3
LFC
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 1
REN
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 1
CEL
29%
28%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
CEL
1 - 0
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |